Together with the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just more than three weeks away, it’s time to begin having a look at the betting odds for the card. Two streaks on the card have lines introduced, and they’re about as different as could be. In the primary event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the man he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first fight, Barao closed as a enormous -910 favorite (bet $910 to win $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male manhood ruled that first fight, scoring a fifth-round TKO in one of the biggest statistical upsets in UFC history. This moment, the odds are much nearer, with Dillashaw sitting at -140 and Barao the small underdog at +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight additional bouts on the card which up until now didn’t have gambling lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas altered that now as he published the full UFC 177 gambling odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ————– MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Analysis: I really desire Bethe Correia to win this fight, just so I do not have to listen to anything about the ridiculous”Four Horsewomen” ever again. Nevertheless, Correia hasn’t faced anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I believe Baszler is able to sift through Correia’s striking and drag this battle to the floor where she’ll have a distinct advantage. The greatest worry for me is about Baszler’s long layoff and injury woes of late, which is more than enough to keep me away from betting her. Tony Ferguson appears like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been labeled on the toes a few times prior to, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuani, he won’t be able to fall back on his wrestling if the striking doesn’t go to plan. This ought to be very competitive in all areas, but Ferguson has slight edges which should propel him to success. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decline in his performances of late makes him look like a 37-year-old. He seemed completely listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was quickly dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the other hand, Derek Brunson supplied the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his most recent bout. It feels like Larkin was extremely overvalued as a prospect while in Strikeforce, while Brunson had been missed. This is an extremely tough bout to predict regarding a side or a complete, so I’ll probably stay away entirely. On the other hand, I believe Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem may have a wrestling advantage here, but even that is questionable. Ferreira is the much greater entry grappler, and likely even the better striker at this stage (though Nijem’s advancement in that regard last time outside was fine to see). I expect Ferreira to get the win, and likely put another finish on his resume either from his submission skills or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo always made for interesting bouts when he had been confronting completely overmatched competition, so he’s up against a legitimate evaluation in Scott Jorgensen, I must admit this is among my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical benefits here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling edge, obviously. He might not have the well-rounded skill set to stop Jorgensen, but I think he wins rounds using takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo handed one of the vital tests for prospects in his last outing as well, becoming cracked square on the jaw and shaking it off to win not just the combat, but that round too. The major question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Perhaps being signed with the UFC was that the impetus he needed to start taking the sport seriously, as in his previous appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it’s quite obvious he has been coasting occasionally. Against Jorgensen that he might not have the ability to get away with a half attempt, and if he does it’ll make him much more special. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His sole loss came to UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been able to restrain and outhustle opponents to pick up decisions. That will be hard against Ruslan Magomedov, that really possesses decent cardio to get a heavyweight, to go along with his solid striking. Coming from almost a year layoff, it’s hard to expect much from Odoms, therefore I anticipate Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is someone I fully expect to fade if he could pick up a few more wins and confront adequate competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too quickly, and should almost be snuffed out at this point. His striking defense looked atrocious against the two Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, along with his entry match was practically non-existent since he had been exploited within seconds of hitting the ground against Miller. Maybe that may work to the benefit of his backers against Justin Edwards however, as Edwards isn’t UFC caliber, even in this point. Edwards has a fantastic guillotine, and not many different skills, so Medeiros has this struggle to win so long as he does not dive into that weapon. Edwards will likely come out quickly, because he must know that a win will indicate the conclusion of his UFC employ. Speaking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will likely be shown the door as well, since both put on foul dislpays within their UFC debuts. Potts is an aggressive — but not overly talented — grappler, although Hamilton showed massive holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the other hand, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was put out by one shot on the ground against Soa Palelei. Either man could finish this fight quickly and that I would not be amazed, or they could play it safe and we could be treated to a truly awful heavyweight MMA. If the price for this bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I may just take a shot there in hopes that the bout really is of the bad selection, but I can not see myself putting considerably greater than Monopoly money down on this competition.

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